Fragmentação geopolítica: uma análise estrutural das propostas de separatismo no Brasil

Abstract

This paper aims to shed light to the debate on the creation of new federal entities, bringing objective elements on the socioeconomic characteristics of the new geopolitical areas and their respective roles in the new spatial context of the Brazilian interregional system. The article presents new results for the discussion, initially trying to identify patterns of hierarchical spatial and productive dependency in this new federal design. These results subsidize the subsequent analysis of the impacts of the new configuration of the constitutional transfers, which identifies, through simulations with an interregional input-output model, specially calibrated for 33 regions considered in the study, not only the potential winners and losers, but also the spatial interaction mechanisms underlying these processes.