Ibovespa's new methodology, betas and explanatory power of stock returns

Authors

  • Ricardo Goulart Serra Universidade de São Paulo. Faculdade de Economia, Administração e Contabilidade Fecap Insper
  • André Taue Saito Universidade Federal de São Paulo
  • Luiz Paulo Lopes Fávero Universidade de São Paulo. Faculdade de Economia, Administração e Contabilidade

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.11606/rco.v10i27.111708

Keywords:

IBOVESPA, STOCK RETURN, BETA.  

Abstract

In 2013 , there were changes in the Ibovespa’s methodology , implemented from 2014. BM&FBOVESPA published a retroactive historical series of 34 quarters of the Ibovespa calculated using the new methodology (New Ibovespa) in parallel to that obtained with the previous methodology (Old Ibovespa). The objective of this article is to verify whether the beta calculated regressing stock returns against New Ibovespa (NewBeta) would have been able to better explain returns than the beta calculated regressing stock returns against the Old Ibovespa (OldBeta). The panel data model with fixed effects is, according to the appropriate tests, preferable to POLS model and the random effects model, and indicates that the OldBeta would have been able to better explain returns than the NewBeta. The model better explains the variation between observations and little explain variation of the same stock over time. The fact that, during the analyzed period, there has existed only Old Ibovespa may have influenced the results.

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Author Biographies

  • Ricardo Goulart Serra, Universidade de São Paulo. Faculdade de Economia, Administração e Contabilidade Fecap Insper

    Pós-doutor e doutor pela FEA/USP, Engenheiro pela POLI/USP

    Professor pesquisador do MPA da FECAP

    Professor de pós-graduação lato senso do INSPER

    Professor da graduação da FEA/USP

  • André Taue Saito, Universidade Federal de São Paulo

    Doutor e Mestre pela FEA/USP

    Professor de finanças da UNIFESP

  • Luiz Paulo Lopes Fávero, Universidade de São Paulo. Faculdade de Economia, Administração e Contabilidade

    Livre docente, doutor e mestre pela FEA/USP

    Professor de métodos quantitativos da pós graduação strito senso da FEA/USP, professor da graduação da FEA/USP

Published

2016-08-29

Issue

Section

Paper

How to Cite

Serra, R. G., Saito, A. T., & Fávero, L. P. L. (2016). Ibovespa’s new methodology, betas and explanatory power of stock returns. Revista De Contabilidade E Organizações, 10(27), 71-85. https://doi.org/10.11606/rco.v10i27.111708